JPMorgan projects CLARITY Act approval by mid-2026, catalyzing H2 crypto recovery despite stalled Senate talks.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. has projected that the CLARITY Act, a comprehensive cryptocurrency regulatory framework, could receive approval by mid-year, potentially serving as a catalyst for market recovery in the second half of 2024, according to a report from The Block.

Analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou at JPMorgan stated in a recent report that despite negative sentiment in cryptocurrency markets, the market structure regulation could be approved within the projected timeframe. The approval could act as a positive catalyst for cryptocurrency markets in the latter half of the year, according to the report.

The CLARITY bill aims to establish a comprehensive regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies in the United States. The legislation has advanced through the House of Representatives, but Senate negotiations have stalled, according to reports.

Two primary issues are delaying the bill’s progress, according to sources familiar with the matter. The first concerns whether interest payments on stablecoins will be permitted. Cryptocurrency companies have advocated for the ability to offer rewards or interest to users holding stablecoins, while banks have argued that allowing earnings from stablecoin balances could redirect deposits away from the traditional banking system and create financial stability risks.

The second issue involves proposed restrictions on cryptocurrency-related activities for high-ranking public officials and their families. Democratic lawmakers have pushed for limitations that would prevent senior government officials, including President Donald Trump, and their families from engaging in certain crypto-related financial activities, according to reports.

The bill has been characterized as one of the most significant cryptocurrency regulatory efforts undertaken by the United States government.